二项分布弹珠台机率

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描述

将小球投入伽尔顿板观察它们如何在容器中积聚。使用柱状图统计模式比较小球分布结果与理想的二项式分布。调整二项分布中的概率并学习统计学知识。

示范 学习目标

  • Predict the bin where a single ball might fall
  • Repeat trials of 100 balls and compare the outcomes
  • Count the number of balls in a bin and relate that to the probability of falling in that bin
  • Compare and interpret empirical and theoretical statistics
  • Apply the plinko simulation as a model to other scenarios where there are weighted statistics

标准对齐

Common Core - Math

7.SP.C.5
Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.
7.SP.C.6
Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability. For example, when rolling a number cube 600 times, predict that a 3 or 6 would be rolled roughly 200 times, but probably not exactly 200 times.
HSS-IC.A.2
Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0.5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?
HSS-ID.A.1
Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots).
HSS-ID.A.2
Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets.
版本 2.02

教师提交的活动

Probability Plinko 一颗金星 象征着 是通过PhET设计指南所设计出来的高质量的探究活动。 beki toussaint 高中 实验室 数学
How do PhET simulations fit in my middle school program? 这个贡献是由PhET设计的。 Sarah Borenstein 初中 其它 生物学
物理学
化学
地理
플린코 확률 SIM 사용설명서 이화국(Wha Kuk Lee) 高中
初中
概念性问题
实验室
示范
MS and HS TEK to Sim Alignment Elyse Zimmer 高中
初中
其它 生物学
化学
物理学

语言 Download or Run Tips
阿姆哈拉语 All Amharic Download Run now የፒንኮ ይሆንታ(pinko probability)
爱沙尼亚语 All Eesti Download Run now Plinko tõenäosus
巴斯克语 All Euskara Download Run now Plinko probabilitatea
波兰语 All polski Download Run now Deska Galtona -prawdopodobieństwo
波斯尼亚语 All Bosanski Download Run now RASPODJELA VJEROVATNOĆE
波斯语 All فارسی Download Run now احتمال بازش پلینکو
朝鲜语 All 한국어 Download Run now 플린코 확률
丹麦语 All Dansk Download Run now Plinko sandsynlighed
德语 All Deutsch Download Run now Binomialverteilung am Plinkobrett
法语 All français Download Run now Probablilté sur planche à clous
繁体中文 All 中文 (台灣) Download Run now 二項分佈彈珠台機率
哈萨克语 All Kazakh Download Run now Пинконын Мүмкіндік
荷兰语 All Nederlands Download Run now Knikkerspel en waarschijnlijkheidsverdeling
克罗地亚语 All hrvatski Download Run now Pascalov trokut
拉脱维亚语 All Latviešu Download Run now Plinko varbūtība
马其顿语 All македонски Download Run now Распределба на веројатност
葡萄牙语(巴西) All português (Brasil) Download Run now Probabilidade Plinko
日语 All 日本語 Download Run now パチンコ玉の落下分布
瑞典语 All svenska Download Run now Plinko sannolikhet
塞尔维亚语 All Српски Download Run now РАСПОДЕЛА ВЕРОВАТНОЋЕ
斯洛伐克语 All Slovenčina Download Run now Pravdepodobnosť
土耳其语 All Türkçe Download Run now Olasılık Hesabı Oyunu
土库曼语 All Turkmen Download Run now Ähtimallyk Plinko
西班牙语 All español Download Run now Plinko-Probabilidad
西班牙语(秘鲁) All español (Perú) Download Run now Probabilidad Plinko
西班牙语(墨西哥) All español (México) Download Run now Probabilidad Plinko
希伯来语 All עברית Download Run now ההתפלגות סטנדרטית
希腊语 All Ελληνικά Download Run now Πιθανότητα Plinko
匈牙利语 All magyar Download Run now Galton-deszka
意大利语 All italiano Download Run now Il gioco di Plinko: probabilità
英语 All English Download Run now Plinko Probability
越南语 All Tiếng Việt Download Run now Xác suất Plinko

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开发团队 第三方支持 感谢
  • Michael Dubson (developer/lead)